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    Why M7 Is Sacrificing Gen Kayihura’s Men – What Is He Fearing?



    By Otim Nape
    In international law, norms and practice, there is something called NON-REFOULMENT and it concerns refugees. It’s the principle of international law that obligates state parties to protect refugees and ensure they are not exposed to the danger they are running away from in the first place. This is the reason the saga involving Gen Kayihura’s men (Nixon Agasirwe & others) isn’t simple as it seems.
    Alex Kabanda, who used to work with them repatriating Rwandan refugees back home to face the danger like persecution an d even execution-that they were running away, is the whistle blower causing all this trauma and headache not just to Gen Kayihura but to Kaguta M7 the president also. Kabanda’s escape through Kenya was aided by a number of actors; including some in Kenya and some Ugandan dissidents operating in the Diaspora to oust M7. The dissident Diaspora people have connections and know actors who matter and they have always required or lacked a person like Alex Kabanda to corroborate their story and spur international problems, including sanctions and isolation, against M7.
    In simple terms, non-refoulment is one of those international law norms and practices that not even the worst despots can violate. For M7 it’s even worse given the good political points and positive international acclaim he scored in May when he hosted the international refugee conference in Kampala that was attended by many world leaders including UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres. The conference in its resolutions urged other world leaders to respect and generously treat refugees like M7 has done. So what Kabanda’s whistle blowing does is to simply erase all the leverage M7 garnered in that May conference at Munyonyo. The actions Gen Kayihura’s men are said to have committed (handing over Rwandan refugees to be persecuted and executed back home) simply imply that in hosting the May Conference, the Ugandan leader was merely posturing and pretending for his own personal political purposes without any genuine concern for the millions of refugees the world has been praising him for hosting.
    Impeccable sources show that wherever he is hiding, Alex Kabanda closely working with some of the disgruntled very senior officers in the Police Force, has inadvertently uttered a lot of things that have
    greatly battered the image M7 had built in the eyes of the international community as a very hospital president genuinely hosting refugees. The consequences of Kabanda’s utterances must already have manifested to M7 and his highly paid lobbyists in western  capitals must already have advised him on mitigation steps to take in order to manage the situation lest he pays the bigger price including risking international isolation, condemnation, sanctions etc from the international system. Such international criticism and scrutiny is the last thing M7 wants to have at a time he is struggling to overcome a politically very hostile population that has so far defied both the stick and carrot aimed at getting them buy into the proposal by MP Magyezi to delete Article 102(b) and thereby paving way for M7 to rule beyond 2021. This simply is the reason he is acting unusually very fast , tough and decisive to demonstrate to the world that “okay yes something could have gone wrong going by what Nixon and others are accused to have done but corrective measures have been taken by the government of Uganda including having them expeditiously tried in the army court”. Its true many world leaders have been calling him seeking clarification on Alex Kabanda’s confession.  Now with the Nixons on trial, M7 will have something to say eloquently telling those inquisitive world leaders that “this was an isolated incidence and the culprits are going to be severely punished through the army court”.
    Because he greatly values those international connections and endorsements, M7 could go as far as sacrificing Gen Kayihura if that’s what it will take for him to look good in the eyes of the international community on the question of refugees. The game is simple the Nixons, or even their alleged supervisor Gen Kayihura at some point, can go through a lot of pain and ridicule on TVs and media during the military court trials but M7 is still here (so he believes) and they will in the long term be rehabilitated after the storm raised by Alex Kabanda has settled. The political capital from the refugee conference was so much that even former UK Foreign Secretary David Milband appeared on both BBC Steven Sucker’s show and Al-Jazeera giving lengthy interviews praising M7 for his generosity and large heart concerning refugees. Hosting refugees, we dare add, also brings the much needed foreign exchange. You would think the Labor UK politician had become the chief spokesman of the Ugandan president. He defended him so well that Ofwono Opondo would fear for his job if he had watched the show. This is the clout M7 risks losing courtesy of Kabanda’s confession to the world. Ironically before being aided by disgruntled police officers and some Diaspora groups to flee, Alex Kabanda had tried for months to meet M7 to confess to him in return for protection against his compatriots whose evil ways he was now tired of. Last minute efforts were made by him to reach the head ISO or ESO chiefs but this still took forever to materialize yet Kabanda felt time wasn’t on his side. Knowledgeable sources say he kept saying he knew too much and those pursuing him wouldn’t let him live even for one more day. He had to meet M7 or anyone else very powerful in the military to get some protection. It wasn’t forthcoming hence the need to flee. M7 must be regretting what happened to his intelligence system to the extent that someone with such valuable sensitive information couldn’t access him. It’s understandable supplying such (sometimes fake) intelligence has become a way of life for many jobless youths and that explains why those that could ordinarily have taken Kabanda to M7 turned their back on him thinking he might be one of those city conmen just looking for survival. Whatever the case, this is something M7 has learnt from. Kabanda believed the people he was complaining against were too powerful the only ultimate person he would confide into safely had to be M7 himself.
    RISKY BIZ; World leaders rightly praised M7 during the Kampala conference and beyond because they know the political risks involved in a leader accepting to host millions of refugees to the scale Uganda is doing. Because of the ever-diminishing economic opportunities available, it’s uncommon seeing an African strongman risking just to be nice to vulnerable persons (refugees) given that mere presence of refugees can ferment anger, annoy people and cause political problems for him. Globally there is growing resentment towards refugees by people in the host communities and this is something world leaders know pretty well; the very reason they praised M7 for his large heart during the Kampala conference.  Anti-refugee sentiments are responsible for the surge in populism in countries like France, US, UK and other places in the civilized world. And in more resource-constrained Africa, such sentiments should ordinarily be more entrenched, Western leaders assume and thereby making M7 even more extra-ordinary. In Germany the influx of refugees from Syria and elsewhere in Middle East has caused Chancellor Angel Merkel political problems. For being ready to face the political consequences of doing the right but unpopular thing (hosting refugees saying Ugandans too were refugees for many years), M7 has become a darling to many western leaders including those that had written him off. This a dividend he isn’t prepared to lose hence the inevitability of the much publicized public trial Kayihura’s men will be enduring in the coming months. M7 will certainly be very much interested in ensuring the trial is vastly publicized to get the message out there that in Uganda we mean business on refugees and you don’t step on their rights and simply walk away with it.


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    Leaders Of Traders Panicking After M7 Directs Investigation Over Allegations Of An Invisible Foreign Hand Fueling Their Strikes To Sabotage Economy…



    L-R: Some of the leaders of traders: Godfrey Katongole, David Kabanda and Thadeus Musoke

    Kampala Metropolitan Senior Minister Hajjat Minsa Kabanda has exclusively confirmed to theGrapevine that president Yoweri Kaguta Museveni has directed the country’s intelligence organs and Kampala Capital City Authority (KCCA) to investigate the alleged invisible hand behind traders’ leadership.

    She explained that preliminary investigations have established that some leaders of traders who are advocating for endless strikes are biased in their decisions because there is an invisible hand pushing them with an agenda of sabotaging the country’s economy and creating an ungovernable situation.

    “We know whatever they are planning. Our people are on ground, so they should stand warned,” Kabanda said.

    She revealed that President Museveni was shocked to establish that in Kampala city alone, traders have more than 30 associations and each one of them has command.

    This has created suspicion and the need for an investigation to establish their true motives.

    The development comes at a time when traders are threatening to go into a two months strike without opening their shops in the city center if president Museveni doesn’t address their demands including the banning of the Electronic Receipting and Invoicing System (EFRIS).

    On 7th May 2024, Museveni directed Uganda Revenue Authority (URA) to sit down with leaders of traders and sort out their differences.

    The President guided that once these leaders and URA agree, they should make a joint report which they should read to him and other traders on 20th of June 2024 at Kololo independence grounds.

    However, before that meeting, Minister Kabanda has disclosed that Museveni is set to meet leaders of traders in the State House to have some issues sorted out noting that government is doing everything in its power to make sure that what happened on 7th May 2024 never happens again.

    She explained that it was bad for traders to shout at the President and embarrass senior government officials to the extent of accusing some of corruption insisting that traders’ behavior sent a warning signal to government that there must be an invisible hand influencing and facilitating them.

    theGrapevine has established that the leadership of Kampala City Traders Association(KACITA) led by Thadeus Musoke Nagenda, Federation of Uganda Traders Association(FUTA), Katukazane Shoe Dealers, Kampala Arcaders Advocacy Forum, United Arcarders Traders Enterprenuers Association,  Uganda Needy and Squatters Association have resolved to join hands and strategise on how to come up with a common voice before the President.

    Highly placed sources in intelligence have revealed to theGrapevine that all eyes are on David Kabanda who is being investigated for working for some opposition bigwigs who promised him support in the coming elections.

    Sources said that Kabanda wants to become the city councilor on Lord Mayor Ssalongo Erias Lukwago’s council.

    However, veteran journalist and the Senior presidential advisor on media Joseph Tamale Mirundi advised Museveni not to take lightly statements made in the United Kingdom’s House of Lords that King Charles’s leadership should influence regime change in Uganda.

    He explained that the western powers are going to use all the available means to sabotage Museveni’s leadership insisting that there is invisible hand in traders’ frequent strikes.

    But a section of KACITA leadership told theGrapevine that there are people in President Museveni’s government who are facilitating the creation of endless traders associations with the aim of benefiting from them and fighting the unity among traders.


    By Sengooba Alirabaki


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    Mukono Municipality In Crisis After NUP Mayor Nkoyoyo Is Admitted To Mulago Hospital Without Money For Treatment…



    Bedridden Mukono Municipality mayor Erisa Mukasa Nkoyoyo. Inset is the area MP Betty Nambooze

    Mukono Municipality legislator Betty Nambooze Bakireke has confirmed that the Municipality’s mayor Erisa Mukasa Nkoyoyo has been admitted to Mulago Specialised Hospital.

    Nambooze explained that last week, she went to hospital to check on him and discovered that his health condition was worsening.

    She said that Nkoyoyo needs very expensive medicine which he has to buy from one of the big pharmacies near the hospital because inside the hospital the medicine is not there.

    She added that because of the expensive medicine, Nkoyoyo is buying it in piecemeal which places his life in more danger.

    She disclosed that the Municipality has no money for his treatment.

    Few months back, theGrapevine reported how Mukono Municipality town clerk Majeran Luboyera and other technocrats rushed Nkoyoyo to Butabika mental hospital but he was later discharged.

    Friends and family members cited witchcraft in Nkoyoyo’s sickness claiming that his political competitors who want his office come 2026 are the ones who want him dead.

    Luboyera confirmed that Nkoyoyo’s absence has created a leadership crisis in the Municipality because currently, it is like the Municipality has no mayor.

    Since the day Nkoyoyo decided to attend the local government retreat at Kyankwanzi leadership training, National Unity Platform principal Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu (Bobi Wine) him a betrayer.

    The party leadership stopped Nkoyoyo from attending the said retreat but he defied them and attended.

    Nkoyoyo later explained that his decision was based on his hunger to develop the Municipality and they could not achieve the development they wanted without working together with the ruling party.


    By Grapevine Reporter


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    RDC Mbabazi, Sseninde In Secret Tug Of War Over NRM Ticket For Wakiso District Woman Legislator…



    Rosemary Nansubuga Sseninde (R) and Justine Mbabazi (L)

    The mighty Grapevine can exclusively reveal that Rosemary Nansubuga Sseninde and Justine Mbabazi are in a secret fight over the National Resistance Movement (NRM) ticket for Wakiso District Woman Member of Parliament.

    In the 2021 parliamentary election, Sseninde was defeated little known Betty Naluyima who held the National Unity Platform (NUP) ticket.

    After the defeat, President Museveni dropped her as the junior Minister for Education.

    However, because of the good relationship Sseninde has with the first lady maama Janet Kataha Museveni, she was appointed as a Director at NRM Secretariat in charge of mobilization.

    When theGrapevine asked her whether she is coming back in elective politics, she only responded with “don’t wake them up”.

    We have established that she is making clandestine mobilization to contest for the same seat come 2026.

    But political observers in Wakiso told theGrapevine that Sseninde is going to find a hard task to secure the NRM ticket because Mbabazi is also interested in the same ticket and she is also doing clandestine mobilization.

    “Mbabazi is on the ground, she always stands with people when it comes to the situation of challenges, especially on the land issues. Minister Sam Mayanja has also helped her to popularize herself because whenever he goes for a land matter, he has to go with her and praise her before the public as a very hard working lady and an NRM cadre,” one of the political observers said.

    However, Sseninde is also not sleeping. She is using her position NRM director Mobilisation to hit two birds with one stone.

    She is popularizing President Museveni’s achievements across the whole country and at the same time doing ground mobilization among the locals in Wakiso district.

    Others interested in the seat are Rose Kirabira, Sylivia Namutyaba, Naluyimba is also coming back among others.


    By Hadijjah Namagembe


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